Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031344 0.033712 0.036080 0.038624 0.041275 0.043953 0.046860
2025-09-28 0.026068 0.029738 0.033537 0.037748 0.042269 0.046963 0.052191
2025-10-05 0.023795 0.028375 0.033237 0.038748 0.044787 0.051173 0.058406
2025-10-12 0.021502 0.026682 0.032303 0.038800 0.046042 0.053816 0.062741
2025-10-19 0.019589 0.025215 0.031445 0.038769 0.047057 0.056067 0.066528
2025-10-26 0.018544 0.024629 0.031483 0.039654 0.049014 0.059294 0.071335
2025-11-02 0.017218 0.023612 0.030939 0.039797 0.050063 0.061450 0.074901
2025-11-09 0.015947 0.022572 0.030294 0.039755 0.050844 0.063256 0.078032
2025-11-16 0.014772 0.021576 0.029638 0.039644 0.051495 0.064874 0.080918
2025-11-23 0.013641 0.020566 0.028909 0.039395 0.051942 0.066223 0.083467
2025-11-30 0.012687 0.019726 0.028340 0.039297 0.052532 0.067711 0.086152
2025-12-07 0.011577 0.018624 0.027398 0.038702 0.052493 0.068435 0.087929
2025-12-14 0.010472 0.017517 0.026462 0.038150 0.052570 0.069379 0.090076
2025-12-21 0.009288 0.016247 0.025281 0.037272 0.052240 0.069850 0.091692
2025-12-28 0.008970 0.016148 0.025597 0.038262 0.054188 0.073028 0.096499
2026-01-04 0.008311 0.015527 0.025195 0.038314 0.054959 0.074784 0.099617
2026-01-11 0.007675 0.014898 0.024751 0.038283 0.055608 0.076378 0.102530
2026-01-18 0.007415 0.014803 0.025014 0.039162 0.057388 0.079340 0.107082
2026-01-25 0.006920 0.014323 0.024729 0.039303 0.058227 0.081150 0.110247
2026-02-01 0.006401 0.013773 0.024320 0.039262 0.058818 0.082646 0.113029
2026-02-08 0.005898 0.013215 0.023876 0.039151 0.059305 0.084003 0.115635
2026-02-15 0.005391 0.012616 0.023346 0.038904 0.059600 0.085111 0.117929
2026-02-22 0.004965 0.012118 0.022939 0.038807 0.060075 0.086432 0.120478